The Las Vegas Raiders visit the New England Patriots on Sunday, October 11, 2026, for a Week 5 matchup between teams that have taken different paths through the opening month. Las Vegas enters at 3-1 with one of the league’s more productive offenses, while 2-2 New England faces significant injury concerns in its secondary.
Game Details
- Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
- Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET, 10:00 a.m. PDT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
The date, time and venue are listed on the NFL’s Raiders schedule.
Latest Verified Odds
VegasInsider listed New England as a 3.5-point favorite as of October 9, 2026, at 7 p.m. ET. The available lines were Patriots -3.5 at -110 and Raiders +3.5 at -110. New England was -200 on the moneyline, with Las Vegas at +160. The total was 45.5 points, priced at -105 on the over and -115 on the under.
The supplied VegasInsider listing does not identify the individual sportsbook behind those prices. A separate Pro Football Reference listing also had New England -3.5 but showed a total of 45.0. Odds can change before kickoff, and the difference between the two totals makes checking the current number and its sportsbook especially important.
Injuries and Player Availability
The Raiders have ruled out wide receivers Jalen Nailor and Dont’e Thornton Jr., as well as guard/center Trey Zuhn III. Running back Ashton Jeanty is questionable with ankle and foot injuries, so his availability has not been confirmed. Those absences leave Las Vegas with uncertainty at both running back and receiver despite its strong offensive start.
New England’s list of confirmed absences is longer. Cornerbacks Christian Gonzalez, Carlton Davis III, Channing Canada and Karon Prunty are out, along with wide receiver Mack Hollins and fullback Reggie Gilliam. Running back Rhamondre Stevenson, offensive tackle Morgan Moses, defensive tackle Christian Barmore, linebackers Christian Elliss and Dre’Mont Jones, cornerback Charles Woods and safety Craig Woodson are questionable.
The NFL’s consolidated injury report was updated October 10. New England’s official injury page also notes that Brenden Schooler has been practicing but is not eligible to play this week. Questionable designations should not be treated as confirmed absences; final availability may not be clear until closer to kickoff.
Matchup Factors
Las Vegas Has the Clear Scoring Edge
The Raiders are averaging 28.8 points per game, seventh in the NFL, compared with 16.2 for the Patriots, who rank 30th. Las Vegas opened with wins over Miami, the Los Angeles Chargers and New Orleans before losing 30-27 to Kansas City. Even in defeat, the Raiders maintained the scoring pace that has defined their 3-1 start.
New England’s 2-2 record keeps the Patriots within reach of a winning start, but the scoring gap is substantial. Unless the Patriots can slow the game or generate more offense than they have through four weeks, Las Vegas appears better equipped for a game requiring points.
New England’s Depleted Secondary
The Patriots will be without Gonzalez and Davis, their two most prominent cornerback absences, while Canada and Prunty are also out. The volume of unavailable defensive backs is especially concerning against an offense already producing nearly 29 points per game. New England may need to compensate schematically, but the confirmed personnel losses create an obvious area for Las Vegas to test.
Both Running Games Carry Uncertainty
Jeanty and Stevenson are each questionable. Jeanty’s status could affect the Raiders’ ability to maintain balance, while Stevenson’s knee issue adds another concern for a New England offense already struggling to score. The Patriots also have Moses listed as questionable at offensive tackle, adding uncertainty around their blocking personnel.
Prediction: Raiders to Beat the Patriots
Las Vegas is the pick to win despite entering as the listed 3.5-point underdog. The central reason is the combination of a major scoring advantage and New England’s confirmed cornerback absences. The Raiders have scored at least 26 points in all four games listed in the research, while the Patriots’ season average is only 16.2. If those trends remain broadly intact, New England may have difficulty keeping pace.
For the same reasons, Raiders +3.5 is the more appealing side at the cited price, though bettors should verify the current line and sportsbook before making any decision.
The strongest reason this prediction could be wrong: Las Vegas may be without Jeanty and is already missing two wide receivers, which could reduce the offense’s versatility. New England is also the home team and was installed as a clear moneyline favorite. If the Patriots control the tempo and their questionable defensive players are available, the Raiders’ statistical scoring edge may not translate cleanly to this matchup.
